18 Comments
User's avatar
Denis's avatar

Masterpiece article.

The article opens a door to so many other thoughts and their ramifications, like a break in a dam, and everything that follows.

Tom Welsh's avatar

After a quick superficial scan of this massive, heavily researched report, I come to one unpleasant conclusion.

Because we have allowed our population to soar unmanageably, we are rapidly running out of raw materials without which our industrial civilisation breaks down. To alleviate that problem - for a while, as much as possible - governments are already making deep inroads into civil liberties, and may soon transform supposedly "free" societies into heavily controlled military camps.

Anthony Dunn's avatar

Thanks for putting me onto this great piece, Tom.

And thanks Craig for producing it.

Tom Welsh's avatar

Craig is one of those Substackers who seem regularly to publish actual theses. I couldn't do that much solid research. We are greatly in his debt.

steve griffin's avatar

In a country obsessed with war but literally sleepwalking into a hole so deep you can't see the bottom, none of this adds up to anything other than the ordinary working folks are gonna all be living under bridges & trying to catch fish to eat.

Another excellent presentation most folks will never see or understand of what's coming in our direction & it's impact. Can't say we weren't warned.

Thx for what you do.

JaKsaa's avatar

Thanks Craig - excellent article. Does it seem like we need to pull a global order together? Immediately work ‘as one world’ and put the brakes on everything that copper is part of, like the military equipment, and put the brakes on the technology competition?

If copper is finite, we save the planet first.

Jimmy Roe's avatar

Literally unobtainium.

René Hurtado's avatar

Excellent publication. I fully support opinions and conclusions.

T Hill's avatar

Thanks for this and all of your other posts.

I see one red flag here though. You note that "after copper routes into the world’s non-negotiable foundations: rebar, ...". Yes, there are sometimes trace amounts of copper in rebar, but most commonly as an impurity. On a global scale, that can add up in EAF production from scrap but you're not going to find a line of structural engineers anywhere in the world designing and specifying rebar with copper. Not a thing.

Ransom Frank Glew's avatar

This should be mandatory reading for those still lost in the forest of climate and renewable energy non-issues,,,

Júlio Buliamti's avatar

Nice summary. Who will get it? Where is the political action to confront realities such as these? Get off the roller coaster or perish. The brutish, violent reality is built into all aspects of civilization. Will there be hunter-gatherers in the Arctic again? How long will the neo-Neolithic last with energy and power enough to make good use of scrap heaps? The Players push the pedal to the metal. Part II: China rare earths processing, supply chains, sanction regimes, for tactical nuclear war, as utter stupidity manifests on a global cultural level. Knowing what's what isn't enough. Have fun.

Mort Enerichzen's avatar

Excellent.

Reminds me a bit of "the ultimate avatar of balance" substack, in some ways, although you, Mr Tindale, provide a plethora of hard data to make your points.

Still, the disconnect and hard bifurcation, between "hard enlightenment" delusions about budget allocations magically bringing resources into existence strikes me as the clincher that sits at the center of western mental dysfunction. A correlate is Dumbald Trump allocations of so many billions of dollars for defense procurement of rare earth metals that China (logically) refuses to sell.

German Energy policies, likewise. The list goes on...

Thanks for sharing your knowledge base and the application of your intellect.

I don't suppose you have a desire to cover the small issue of the stuff running along all this copper wire, to dig into the electric grid function and the renewable energy feed-in problems... As well as emerging problems of AI data center's power plants breaking gas turbines from spikes in computer chip power consumption. ??? If you have the engineering know-how to cover the subject...? (Not sure if you do)

It could do with similar treatment.

Thanks again.

Michael Dwyer's avatar

The true answer is a change in culture. Once we accept the fact the way we live has a use by date wecan learn to live on this planet with its resources

Jimmy H's avatar

Great and spot on as usual. For those that would like to see a video lecture that covers many of these issues at a much less detailed level, then you may enjoy this from a few years ago. Mark Mills has been beating this drum for awhile....the stark fist of reality always hits the narrative sooner or later...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgOEGKDVvsg

Jon Wesenberg's avatar

The Stark Fist of Reality? Are you a follower of J.R. "Bob" Dobbs?

Harvester's avatar

Out of curiosity, how much of this content is generated / edited with AI…..